WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 164.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db0b0ec6a42ac33b6010b928a32b43c63798bf78f04c19af2e325d4a273c14b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaed0…6f18backed Over | 51c | 47,401$24,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,164.9 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 21,702$10,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,068.03 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 49c | 15,000$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,640.18 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 5,260$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.42 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 2,048$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.48 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 1,818$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.05 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.32 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 6c | 599$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 49c | 264$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.64 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 51c | 196.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 49c | 178.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 51c | 135.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 56c | 110.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 60c | 86.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 40c | 79.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 35c | 79.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Under | 53c | 66.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 47c | 56.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 35.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 51c | 27.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 65c | 22.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 164.5this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 163.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.