TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Connecticut Sunof Washington Mystics, Connecticut Sun
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,699 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Washington Mystics48c10,417$5,000 inLost-$5,00014353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun52c9,731$5,075 inWon+$4,655.9378548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Washington Mystics49c3,333$1,633 inLost-$1,633.086154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Washington Mystics50c2,644$1,324 inLost-$1,323.5138645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics49c2,585$1,268 inLost-$1,267.661,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Connecticut Sun52c2,501$1,300 inWon+$1,201.064963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Connecticut Sun50c2,214$1,107 inWon+$1,107.1114452.8%76 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Washington Mystics47c1,702$800 inLost-$8009047.8%43 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Connecticut Sun50c1,567$784 inWon+$783.55259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Connecticut Sun50c1,200$600 inWon+$60014060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Connecticut Sun51c980.39$500 inWon+$480.3932743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Connecticut Sun55c901.56$500 inWon+$401.5623049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Connecticut Sun51c616.55$314 inWon+$302.111435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun53c582.28$310 inWon+$272.091,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Washington Mystics45c500$225 inLost-$2258145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Connecticut Sun51c456$233 inWon+$223.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Washington Mystics47c319.15$150 inLost-$15012045%54 W · 66 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun53c319.15$169 inWon+$15092248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Connecticut Sun51c301.76$154 inWon+$147.8634448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Washington Mystics47c200$94 inLost-$9410249%50 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Washington Mystics50c200$100 inLost-$10011941.2%49 W · 70 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Connecticut Sun53c170$90 inWon+$79.941145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked Connecticut Sun54c119.62$65 inWon+$55.031926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-49.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Washington Mystics46c108$50 inLost-$49.686741.8%28 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ef…bcd3backed Connecticut Sun49c104.82$51 inWon+$53.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Washington Mystics46c100$46 inLost-$467350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Connecticut Sun50c100$50 inWon+$50683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Connecticut Sun51c88.24$45 inWon+$43.242462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Connecticut Sun51c61.33$31 inWon+$30.055947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Connecticut Sun51c58.82$30 inWon+$28.826030%18 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Connecticut Sun50c52.08$26 inWon+$26.048045%36 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Mystics50c39.76$20 inLost-$19.8883748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Connecticut Sun52c38.46$20 inWon+$18.464546.7%21 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Connecticut Sun51c24.45$12 inWon+$11.984660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Washington Mystics51c22.46$11 inLost-$11.451553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.