WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad0f88b5049cfb6acfec900db3bf3e2149606dc6844e5107f3d3d5264f6c4f13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Washington Mystics, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Connecticut Sun | 61c | 2,478$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.63 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Washington Mystics | 38c | 1,139$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.79 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Washington Mystics | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Connecticut Sun | 61c | 489.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Mystics | 39c | 396.81$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.73 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Mystics | 41c | 370$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 306.54$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Washington Mystics | 47c | 290.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Washington Mystics | 39c | 204$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 45c | 194.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Connecticut Sun | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…97c5backed Washington Mystics | 29c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Connecticut Sun | 60c | 50.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Washington Mystics | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Washington Mystics | 47c | 40.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 33.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…c6c0backed Connecticut Sun | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-4.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 161.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 162.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 163.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 164.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.