TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Paris" during Netherlands vs Morocco?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,547 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fbf…fbcebacked Yes78c246.6$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.213090%27 W · 3 L+8.9wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes50c152.06$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2616854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes70c99.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5855044.7%246 W · 304 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No40c74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6821063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0c3d…f757backed No48c48.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.333151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8963…de64backed No30c48.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.888838.6%34 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No34c37$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.475257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+44.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes70c33.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7576445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d97…4483backed Yes75c26.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1218641.9%78 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.