TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "What a Save" during Netherlands vs Morocco?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,792 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes55c410.7$227 inWon+$183.3115445.5%70 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No11c325.58$36 inLost-$35.9680225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed Yes21c225.04$47 inWon+$178.2834151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No11c172.74$19 inLost-$19.3717629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No13c133$17 inLost-$17.296098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No79c120.99$96 inLost-$95.5845736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5011…220ebacked No78c100$78 inLost-$783351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed No79c99.99$79 inLost-$78.994528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3fbf…fbcebacked Yes73c80.39$59 inWon+$21.73090%27 W · 3 L+8.9wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed No78c60$47 inLost-$46.821063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x94df…e399backed No80c49.6$40 inLost-$39.682653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3715…9d3abacked No75c22$17 inLost-$16.56157.4%35 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4708…9580backed No79c21$17 inLost-$16.594226.2%11 W · 31 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-64.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed No79c21$17 inLost-$16.5911133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No80c20$16 inLost-$1616847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd20…6159backed No79c20$16 inLost-$15.81668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed No80c19.43$16 inLost-$15.5419742.6%84 W · 113 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…4c78backed No79c17.54$14 inLost-$13.9312359.3%73 W · 50 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9434…d8d8backed No80c14.63$12 inLost-$11.71643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94ce…edf2backed No80c13.81$11 inLost-$11.055552.7%29 W · 26 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+94.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.