TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Own Goal" during Netherlands vs Morocco?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1811…913bbacked Yes55c411.28$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.365658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes49c254.37$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6935954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c3d…f757backed No49c240.15$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.173151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed No45c199.4$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4710135.6%36 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454528.9%13 W · 32 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-49.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4548961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4424037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No40c66.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.776445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No49c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.955257.7%30 W · 22 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+44.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes65c47.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2915445.5%70 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.816847%79 W · 89 L-11.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34cb…7588backed No45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked No59c39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8210853.7%58 W · 50 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No44c37.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.592,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8963…de64backed No43c33.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.598838.6%34 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbc1…49d7backed No43c25.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3715…9d3abacked Yes51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.86157.4%35 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.