TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Maanshan: Sheng Tang vs Siwanat Auytayakul

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Siwanat Auytayakulof Sheng Tang, Siwanat Auytayakul
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,708 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sheng Tang43c3,791$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.542,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sheng Tang51c2,362$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.076,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Siwanat Auytayakul47c2,021$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.044,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Siwanat Auytayakul61c2,006$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.672,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Siwanat Auytayakul51c1,279$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.895,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Siwanat Auytayakul47c1,260$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.844,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc92…649dbacked Sheng Tang20c1,248$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.999118.7%17 W · 74 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Siwanat Auytayakul61c1,156$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.61,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Siwanat Auytayakul61c990.68$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.381,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Sheng Tang52c823.94$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.461,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Siwanat Auytayakul59c718.98$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.931,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Siwanat Auytayakul65c614.93$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.684,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Sheng Tang36c600$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.017,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Sheng Tang52c532.06$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4572755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Siwanat Auytayakul50c505.91$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.334,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Sheng Tang52c459.4$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.579657.3%55 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Sheng Tang52c423.3$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.891,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Siwanat Auytayakul60c382.86$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.428,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Siwanat Auytayakul55c362.77$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.816,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Siwanat Auytayakul49c319.99$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.492046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Sheng Tang53c250.94$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Sheng Tang12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Sheng Tang12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419941.7%83 W · 116 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Sheng Tang12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2469438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Sheng Tang12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419744.7%88 W · 109 L+17.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Sheng Tang12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2418841.5%78 W · 110 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Sheng Tang51c194.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7243552.9%230 W · 205 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sheng Tang49c174.27$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.517,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Siwanat Auytayakul63c159.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2536349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Siwanat Auytayakul52c155.22$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3156153.7%301 W · 260 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sheng Tang34c140.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.757,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Siwanat Auytayakul48c133$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8322651.8%117 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Siwanat Auytayakul47c126.78$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.61,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Sheng Tang35c104.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.91,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Siwanat Auytayakul63c98.41$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.411,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…ab36backed Sheng Tang53c94.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Sheng Tang50c63.94$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3265259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Sheng Tang47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Sheng Tang58c55.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3279646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Sheng Tang52c54.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9475350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8951…dfcfbacked Siwanat Auytayakul61c54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0625858.1%150 W · 108 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Sheng Tang52c52.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2728264.2%181 W · 101 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x103f…86dbbacked Sheng Tang65c51.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3516362%101 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd436…18a9backed Sheng Tang50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.212550.4%63 W · 62 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd70…ac64backed Sheng Tang51c45.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Sheng Tang36c43.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.481,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xabbc…04a3backed Sheng Tang59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.618957.7%109 W · 80 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Siwanat Auytayakul59c35.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.61,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe4f…a63ebacked Sheng Tang55c35.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.37448.6%36 W · 38 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Sheng Tang45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Sheng Tang40c25.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Sheng Tang65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.952065%13 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5edb…00a9backed Siwanat Auytayakul62c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5123842.9%102 W · 136 L-21.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.