Tennis · resolved market
ITF Fukui: Chia Yi Tsao vs Cheuk Ying Shek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ebe5ccd40ab61d543e5004545ab3cb13f53dd6a7ceca2864743c240c1690a89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cheuk Ying Shekof Chia Yi Tsao, Cheuk Ying Shek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x400d…e759backed Chia Yi Tsao | 61c | 385.2$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.93 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 38c | 260.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Chia Yi Tsao | 63c | 255$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 37c | 233.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Chia Yi Tsao | 62c | 160.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Chia Yi Tsao | 58c | 160$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 45c | 111.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Chia Yi Tsao | 64c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chia Yi Tsao | 28c | 44.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cheuk Ying Shek | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Cheuk Ying Shek | 39c | 30.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Chia Yi Tsao | 63c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Chia Yi Tsao | 60c | 21.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Chia Yi Tsao | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.