CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Latvia vs Hungary (BO3) - Esports Nations Cup East European Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ebe75da2a557e4d5671ad5c841aa9ec972ef4f2eb4b6b15257770a57f5340bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Latviaof Latvia, Hungary
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Hungary | 47c | 2,007$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.16 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Hungary | 55c | 1,616$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.27 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Latvia | 46c | 750.02$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.93 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Latvia | 50c | 646.89$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.43 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Hungary | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Latvia | 66c | 423.6$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.32 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Latvia | 48c | 417.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.71 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Latvia | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.01 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Latvia | 56c | 341.96$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.32 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Latvia | 56c | 317.27$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.34 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Latvia | 50c | 236.29$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Latvia | 61c | 236.15$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Latvia | 74c | 192.5$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Hungary | 53c | 180.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Hungary | 55c | 171.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Hungary | 20c | 122$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Hungary | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Latvia | 65c | 92.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…1d33backed Hungary | 55c | 90.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Latvia | 45c | 85.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Latvia | 59c | 83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Latvia | 46c | 81.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Latvia | 53c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hungary | 45c | 79.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hungary | 34c | 77.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Latvia | 61c | 58.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hungary | 29c | 57.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Hungary | 54c | 57.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Latvia | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Latvia | 47c | 46.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Latvia | 41c | 30.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Latvia | 55c | 21.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…021ebacked Latvia | 60c | 20.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Latvia vs Hungary (BO3) - Esports Nations Cup East European Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Latvia vs Hungary - Map 2 WinnerHungary won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.