CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ecaafe14ef4409bc730a1f1663151c5f8ec0c8ba1d0655beba067654a8e3f79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Nemesis | 66c | 12,191$7,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.98 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked SPARTA | 35c | 9,690$3,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,378.95 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…e1fdbacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 9,231$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.77 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked SPARTA | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.99 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed SPARTA | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.98 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked SPARTA | 31c | 2,366$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.7 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 2,305$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.96 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…0084backed SPARTA | 35c | 1,220$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…93dbbacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 1,191$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked SPARTA | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 797.61$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.14 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 697.61$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.16 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 688.78$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.78 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed SPARTA | 35c | 571.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed SPARTA | 36c | 558.33$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SPARTA | 36c | 538$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.68 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed SPARTA | 36c | 533.06$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked SPARTA | 35c | 507.96$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.79 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA | 5c | 361$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a03…279abacked SPARTA | 31c | 306.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed SPARTA | 9c | 286.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 262$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.7 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed SPARTA | 30c | 249.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed SPARTA | 9c | 234.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed SPARTA | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed SPARTA | 36c | 170$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Team Nemesis | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 117.23$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed SPARTA | 35c | 100.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed SPARTA | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed SPARTA | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 94.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SPARTA | 11c | 94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 93.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SPARTA | 29c | 91.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed SPARTA | 36c | 83.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked SPARTA | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Team Nemesis | 74c | 82.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed SPARTA | 35c | 80.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed SPARTA | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…42c4backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 78.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed SPARTA | 28c | 64.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked SPARTA | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed SPARTA | 35c | 42.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed SPARTA | 36c | 41.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed SPARTA | 36c | 40.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked SPARTA | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked SPARTA | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Team Nemesis | 66c | 37.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked SPARTA | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Team Nemesis | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 32.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked SPARTA | 32c | 31.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…a321backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked SPARTA | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 324 | 47.2%153 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…eeb3backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…258fbacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…af56backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.