CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f13d4dd16820d3bcaab89f18c03bf122b1384e2abe490c3fd8d599da0a6f6aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ODDIKof ODDIK, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked ODDIK | 56c | 748.03$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.25 | 1,042 | 52.5%547 W · 495 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yawara Esports | 35c | 407.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.17 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yawara Esports | 42c | 395$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 364.1$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.13 | 1,683 | 47%791 W · 892 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yawara Esports | 33c | 333$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ODDIK | 65c | 250.95$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 1,802 | 59.3%1,069 W · 733 L | +107.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yawara Esports | 41c | 200.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 2,120 | 41.9%889 W · 1,231 L | -47.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…3378backed ODDIK | 56c | 134.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 128$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 829 | 42.5%352 W · 477 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ODDIK | 53c | 127.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 560 | 48.6%272 W · 288 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports | 20c | 110.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ODDIK | 61c | 107.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 1,161 | 42.2%490 W · 671 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ODDIK | 69c | 105.32$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…881bbacked Yawara Esports | 34c | 91.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ODDIK | 72c | 77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 1,932 | 42.2%815 W · 1,117 L | -69.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed ODDIK | 54c | 74.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 448 | 55.6%249 W · 199 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 74.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ODDIK | 74c | 66.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 2,237 | 43.2%966 W · 1,271 L | -70.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…b31fbacked Yawara Esports | 43c | 64.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ODDIK | 72c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2,441 | 42.9%1,047 W · 1,394 L | -72.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed ODDIK | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 480 | 56.3%270 W · 210 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 50.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 549 | 49.4%271 W · 278 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ODDIK | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ODDIK | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1,212 | 54.4%659 W · 553 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Yawara Esports | 28c | 45.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 2,192 | 47.4%1,040 W · 1,152 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…a2adbacked ODDIK | 68c | 33.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 70cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed ODDIK | 65c | 32.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 638 | 48.4%309 W · 329 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed ODDIK | 77c | 29.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ODDIK | 53c | 25.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 1,950 | 47.8%932 W · 1,018 L | -50.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…c83abacked ODDIK | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 33 | 87.9%29 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed ODDIK | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 774 | 46.1%357 W · 417 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked ODDIK | 56c | 18.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 878 | 54.3%477 W · 401 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsODDIK won
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 WinnerODDIK won
- Map Handicap: ODK (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)ODDIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.