CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaad891aaaba61d2d034f8af258365e00ebf8fd1f5ce1c1a2a05545d60309a6d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ODDIKof ODDIK, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ODDIK | 69c | 970.16$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.34 | 1,819 | 59%1,074 W · 745 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 603$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.46 | 591 | 34.7%205 W · 386 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yawara Esports | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed ODDIK | 53c | 370.28$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.03 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 352.47$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed Yawara Esports | 33c | 260$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed ODDIK | 52c | 256.14$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 590 | 39.3%232 W · 358 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yawara Esports | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ODDIK | 70c | 172.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 1,704 | 47%801 W · 903 L | -29.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6609…4e73backed Yawara Esports | 41c | 123.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ODDIK | 72c | 115.4$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed ODDIK | 72c | 114.07$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ODDIK | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 564 | 48.2%272 W · 292 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed ODDIK | 54c | 90.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed ODDIK | 80c | 86.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 8,133 | 50.3%4,091 W · 4,042 L | +169.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ODDIK | 65c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 582 | 48.6%283 W · 299 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,137 | 42%897 W · 1,240 L | -48.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ODDIK | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,995 | 47.5%948 W · 1,047 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed ODDIK | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Yawara Esports | 37c | 47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 1,206 | 42%506 W · 700 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports | 36c | 46.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed ODDIK | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Yawara Esports | 38c | 33.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports | 31c | 32.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…588dbacked Yawara Esports | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -8.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yawara Esports | 39c | 26.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 3,375 | 45.7%1,542 W · 1,833 L | -84.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 21.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsODDIK won
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerODDIK won
- Map Handicap: ODK (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)ODDIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.