Movies · resolved market
Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f1fa13094b157bd963555fef0e9adcfff755388bbbccac1c3a20e6f3aed39a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Yes | 43c | 404.63$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked No | 57c | 284.19$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.54 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 31c | 225.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 36c | 177.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 77c | 136.03$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…e19dbacked No | 44c | 134$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 69c | 91.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 59c | 77.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 61c | 76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -7.5wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed Yes | 73c | 71.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 50.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 69c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…6413backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 86 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.