Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f5380b99f9d368b9b821432bc3b8ef633e817f6e5d9f999d10d9c28090ab97b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, Global Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Global Esports | 1c | 2,593$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Global Esports | 2c | 1,675$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Global Esports | 34c | 1,048$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.4 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Global Esports | 35c | 791.52$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.58 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed MIBR | 70c | 749.99$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Global Esports | 12c | 519.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Global Esports | 39c | 499.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.28 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked MIBR | 61c | 496.51$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.51 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MIBR | 66c | 463.36$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb02…c292backed MIBR | 59c | 459.46$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.38 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked Global Esports | 8c | 399.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 106 | 28.3%30 W · 76 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Global Esports | 35c | 383.46$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MIBR | 60c | 293.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.48 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Global Esports | 40c | 273.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Global Esports | 29c | 252.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed MIBR | 63c | 243.17$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MIBR | 78c | 213.16$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d7…1932backed MIBR | 58c | 209.55$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked MIBR | 60c | 160.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked MIBR | 54c | 159.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Global Esports | 37c | 151.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Global Esports | 29c | 115.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Global Esports | 47c | 115.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Global Esports | 30c | 105.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Global Esports | 22c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MIBR | 60c | 68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Global Esports | 39c | 64.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Global Esports | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Global Esports | 30c | 55.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MIBR | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Global Esports | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked MIBR | 59c | 48.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed MIBR | 54c | 45.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIBR | 54c | 38.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Global Esports | 41c | 33.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked MIBR | 71c | 32.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…bb7ebacked MIBR | 65c | 22.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MIBR | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1aa…bf0fbacked MIBR | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed MIBR | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Global Esports (+1.5)MIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group DMIBR won
- Valorant: MIBR vs Global Esports - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.