Tennis · resolved market
ITF Takasaki: Hina Inoue vs Yuki Naito
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f86568780378cf0f8da53f040eae2c73ee2e51d47292e7f9dea8b52fc382476
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yuki Naitoof Hina Inoue, Yuki Naito
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Hina Inoue | 29c | 4,675$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.06 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yuki Naito | 60c | 2,266$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.19 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Hina Inoue | 55c | 1,135$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.74 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Hina Inoue | 37c | 794.67$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.82 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yuki Naito | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hina Inoue | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Hina Inoue | 45c | 452.73$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.15 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Hina Inoue | 44c | 330.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yuki Naito | 62c | 317.36$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a75…4342backed Yuki Naito | 64c | 305.53$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yuki Naito | 63c | 304.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hina Inoue | 35c | 299.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Hina Inoue | 51c | 272.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.83 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yuki Naito | 48c | 261.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hina Inoue | 41c | 245.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Hina Inoue | 54c | 190.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yuki Naito | 47c | 143.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Hina Inoue | 74c | 140$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Hina Inoue | 79c | 125.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Hina Inoue | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Hina Inoue | 47c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yuki Naito | 55c | 94.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hina Inoue | 44c | 91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…4f83backed Hina Inoue | 32c | 87.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Hina Inoue | 34c | 81.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 212 | 59.4%126 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Yuki Naito | 58c | 76.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yuki Naito | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Yuki Naito | 60c | 74.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…d8acbacked Hina Inoue | 58c | 72.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Hina Inoue | 72c | 66.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hina Inoue | 39c | 59.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Hina Inoue | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yuki Naito | 59c | 55.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Yuki Naito | 58c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yuki Naito | 73c | 49.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Hina Inoue | 42c | 49.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yuki Naito | 47c | 43.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yuki Naito | 58c | 42.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 398 | 45.5%181 W · 217 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yuki Naito | 57c | 40.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Yuki Naito | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Hina Inoue | 32c | 39.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Hina Inoue | 40c | 38.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Yuki Naito | 57c | 37.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hina Inoue | 31c | 33.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hina Inoue | 35c | 30.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cef…72b2backed Yuki Naito | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yuki Naito | 65c | 28.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yuki Naito | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Hina Inoue | 44c | 26.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yuki Naito | 58c | 21.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 688 | 57.3%394 W · 294 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Yuki Naito | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Hina Inoue | 78c | 20.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a69fbacked Yuki Naito | 74c | 20.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yuki Naito | 72c | 16.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Hina Inoue | 72c | 14.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.