Lol · resolved market

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fdd2af1975763e65335269d360de460351034c18f65f2540ea095756c11a1bb

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: CTBC Flying Oysterof CTBC Flying Oyster, Team Secret Whales
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,042 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6842…20d0backed Team Secret Whales	37c	5,452$2,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,028.64	1,011	47.1%476 W · 535 L	+21.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster	60c	2,503$1,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,001.24	759	42%319 W · 440 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Team Secret Whales	35c	2,001$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.32	1,806	39.1%707 W · 1,099 L	-30.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…bb92backed CTBC Flying Oyster	43c	1,835$781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,053.47	114	39.5%45 W · 69 L	-11.6wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-30%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed CTBC Flying Oyster	29c	1,241$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.28	3,584	40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L	+31.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b4…f4d9backed Team Secret Whales	70c	1,118$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788	260	62.7%163 W · 97 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Team Secret Whales	16c	1,076$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.67	941	34.5%325 W · 616 L	+33.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked CTBC Flying Oyster	36c	1,045$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.72	118	33.1%39 W · 79 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed CTBC Flying Oyster	31c	958.48$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.48	1,218	58.1%708 W · 510 L	+44.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Team Secret Whales	74c	845.59$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.74	279	57.7%161 W · 118 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Team Secret Whales	70c	815.7$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.99	501	55.3%277 W · 224 L	-21.6wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Team Secret Whales	74c	809.96$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	298	46.6%139 W · 159 L	-19.7wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Team Secret Whales	48c	721.76$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.04	1,663	59.5%990 W · 673 L	+98.5wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Team Secret Whales	17c	700$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	1,218	48.7%593 W · 625 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed Team Secret Whales	49c	652.91$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.55	621	58.8%365 W · 256 L	+32.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ce…022cbacked Team Secret Whales	21c	540.43$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.41	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked CTBC Flying Oyster	26c	500$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370	1,368	37.7%516 W · 852 L	-6.8wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed CTBC Flying Oyster	26c	487.59$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360.82	579	45.9%266 W · 313 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked CTBC Flying Oyster	64c	449.62$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.28	1,899	37.1%705 W · 1,194 L	-113.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked CTBC Flying Oyster	45c	444.83$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.21	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed CTBC Flying Oyster	51c	426.87$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.65	1,728	29.5%509 W · 1,219 L	-123.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Secret Whales	48c	400$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	942	37.3%351 W · 591 L	+51.0wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0535…75ccbacked CTBC Flying Oyster	28c	400$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	1,009	49.2%496 W · 513 L	+30.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Team Secret Whales	38c	391.16$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	997	47.1%470 W · 527 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f6…a31cbacked Team Secret Whales	14c	367$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.38	207	39.6%82 W · 125 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Team Secret Whales	72c	361.46$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.74	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	-26.7wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed CTBC Flying Oyster	28c	357.14$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.14	1,114	35%390 W · 724 L	+14.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Team Secret Whales	4c	350.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.03	109	5.5%6 W · 103 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Secret Whales	80c	305.94$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.92	153	64.1%98 W · 55 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c6…ff7dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster	20c	294.32$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.5	230	23%53 W · 177 L	-19.5wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Team Secret Whales	65c	291.2$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.77	660	58.8%388 W · 272 L	-36.9wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Team Secret Whales	25c	284.18$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.74	869	43.2%375 W · 494 L	-5.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CTBC Flying Oyster	50c	281.24$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.52	2,341	40.3%943 W · 1,398 L	-61.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked CTBC Flying Oyster	36c	274.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.44	567	44.8%254 W · 313 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Secret Whales	11c	265.75$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.47	1,517	3.3%50 W · 1,467 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ec…c264backed CTBC Flying Oyster	74c	250$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.2	799	73.3%586 W · 213 L	+45.9wins	+0.06per pick	68cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed CTBC Flying Oyster	41c	231.42$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.01	670	57.5%385 W · 285 L	+24.1wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Team Secret Whales	28c	208$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.47	466	50.9%237 W · 229 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed CTBC Flying Oyster	32c	204.76$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.13	1,539	43.7%673 W · 866 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed CTBC Flying Oyster	13c	200$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174	497	39.4%196 W · 301 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed CTBC Flying Oyster	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	126	61.9%78 W · 48 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Secret Whales	57c	157.77$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.25	732	37.7%276 W · 456 L	-51.5wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Secret Whales	17c	157.29$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.75	1,831	17.1%313 W · 1,518 L	-236.0wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-46%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked CTBC Flying Oyster	35c	156.46$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.46	955	51.7%494 W · 461 L	-12.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed CTBC Flying Oyster	25c	142$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.5	993	38.6%383 W · 610 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Team Secret Whales	71c	136.99$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.26	121	45.5%55 W · 66 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed CTBC Flying Oyster	38c	130.63$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.63	627	39.9%250 W · 377 L	-6.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ce…6c4abacked Team Secret Whales	11c	129.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	573	47.6%273 W · 300 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Team Secret Whales	15c	123.35$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.92	1,310	37.3%489 W · 821 L	-86.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Team Secret Whales	17c	123.02$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.31	318	55.7%177 W · 141 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Team Secret Whales	71c	122.41$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.91	1,501	54.5%818 W · 683 L	+34.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed CTBC Flying Oyster	67c	117.04$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.9	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed Team Secret Whales	75c	100$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.7wins	-0.37per pick	57cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Team Secret Whales	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	457	39.6%181 W · 276 L	-37.5wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked CTBC Flying Oyster	26c	99.99$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.99	429	41.5%178 W · 251 L	-24.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-20%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed CTBC Flying Oyster	76c	98$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.76	366	47.3%173 W · 193 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed CTBC Flying Oyster	11c	96.14$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.14	611	50.6%309 W · 302 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9da7…8bb1backed Team Secret Whales	67c	90.72$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.04	120	48.3%58 W · 62 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed CTBC Flying Oyster	78c	86.52$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed CTBC Flying Oyster	29c	86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.06	166	47.6%79 W · 87 L	+8.3wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed CTBC Flying Oyster	13c	78.13$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.97	726	37.7%274 W · 452 L	-23.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed CTBC Flying Oyster	45c	75.55$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.63	2,905	38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L	-118.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa230…d08dbacked Team Secret Whales	24c	59.71$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Team Secret Whales	74c	57.08$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.24	171	63.7%109 W · 62 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	65cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed CTBC Flying Oyster	47c	56.11$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.49	124	43.5%54 W · 70 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster	48c	51.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	791	56.1%444 W · 347 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a22…fca9backed Team Secret Whales	70c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	214	43.9%94 W · 120 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6dd…52dbbacked CTBC Flying Oyster	23c	44.38$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.37	163	23.3%38 W · 125 L	-11.4wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd0b…69a6backed Team Secret Whales	74c	40.54$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	76	73.7%56 W · 20 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	68cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked CTBC Flying Oyster	25c	40$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	1,048	46.1%483 W · 565 L	-43.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Team Secret Whales	75c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	843	60.1%507 W · 336 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Team Secret Whales	31c	39.73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.16	243	56%136 W · 107 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed CTBC Flying Oyster	29c	36.5$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.95	1,643	44.4%730 W · 913 L	-42.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Team Secret Whales	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	138	62.3%86 W · 52 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa530…88f6backed Team Secret Whales	56c	36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	67cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster	46c	25.43$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.73	840	41%344 W · 496 L	-38.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Team Secret Whales	69c	21.66$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	738	51.5%380 W · 358 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc30…8780backed Team Secret Whales	70c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	76	46.1%35 W · 41 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e75…0dd7backed CTBC Flying Oyster	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	331	51.7%171 W · 160 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Team Secret Whales	66c	15.21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	257	37%95 W · 162 L	-12.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)CTBC Flying Oyster won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonTeam Secret Whales won
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event