Tennis · resolved market
Menorca: Sergio Callejon vs Andrew Paulson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa039ba2176e06f7122acccfd95827c67714c6b6330000fd3fa5bbe948d1a76ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sergio Callejonof Sergio Callejon, Andrew Paulson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Andrew Paulson | 53c | 1,277$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.27 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f4…92b2backed Andrew Paulson | 54c | 893.95$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.32 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sergio Callejon | 60c | 818.9$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.32 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Sergio Callejon | 48c | 590.05$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.97 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Sergio Callejon | 47c | 525.57$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.72 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Sergio Callejon | 48c | 460.18$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.29 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Sergio Callejon | 46c | 444.49$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.33 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Sergio Callejon | 46c | 429.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.75 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Sergio Callejon | 48c | 352.6$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.35 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Andrew Paulson | 53c | 351.97$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.55 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Andrew Paulson | 53c | 340.08$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.42 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sergio Callejon | 43c | 336.6$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.65 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sergio Callejon | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Andrew Paulson | 56c | 292.08$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Andrew Paulson | 52c | 242.79$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.25 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Andrew Paulson | 55c | 227.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.13 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Sergio Callejon | 48c | 161.47$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Andrew Paulson | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Andrew Paulson | 60c | 121.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…aa3fbacked Sergio Callejon | 47c | 113$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sergio Callejon | 60c | 112.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Andrew Paulson | 60c | 104.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5447…19c8backed Andrew Paulson | 12c | 103.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…8b57backed Andrew Paulson | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Sergio Callejon | 63c | 88.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Andrew Paulson | 54c | 81.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 299 | 58.5%175 W · 124 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Andrew Paulson | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Andrew Paulson | 53c | 61.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Andrew Paulson | 56c | 61.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Andrew Paulson | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andrew Paulson | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Sergio Callejon | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99f…0d86backed Sergio Callejon | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Sergio Callejon | 45c | 46.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Sergio Callejon | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Sergio Callejon | 56c | 42.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Andrew Paulson | 55c | 41.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Andrew Paulson | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…8534backed Sergio Callejon | 55c | 35.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sergio Callejon | 38c | 35.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Andrew Paulson | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990a…a9cebacked Andrew Paulson | 52c | 31.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Andrew Paulson | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…21b1backed Andrew Paulson | 60c | 29.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sergio Callejon | 69c | 29.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Andrew Paulson | 57c | 28.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 336 | 61.3%206 W · 130 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Andrew Paulson | 52c | 26.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Andrew Paulson | 53c | 25.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Andrew Paulson | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…8b87backed Sergio Callejon | 46c | 24.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…ad3dbacked Sergio Callejon | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sergio Callejon | 49c | 22.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Andrew Paulson | 56c | 20.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Andrew Paulson | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andrew Paulson | 53c | 19.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.