Tennis · resolved market
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Olivia Lincer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0683d4f701c76d35630b32d419b9adb86fb306d610adc83a0b56b29c7abe469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ana Gruborof Ana Grubor, Olivia Lincer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Olivia Lincer | 51c | 4,383$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.64 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ana Grubor | 50c | 2,722$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.34 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ana Grubor | 25c | 887.69$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.89 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ana Grubor | 45c | 714.19$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.17 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Olivia Lincer | 71c | 565.69$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.64 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ana Grubor | 23c | 512.72$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.79 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ana Grubor | 22c | 400$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Olivia Lincer | 77c | 260.96$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.72 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Olivia Lincer | 80c | 238.6$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Olivia Lincer | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 341 | 54.3%185 W · 156 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Ana Grubor | 42c | 199.42$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.58 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ana Grubor | 60c | 157$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Olivia Lincer | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Olivia Lincer | 77c | 149.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Ana Grubor | 44c | 147.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Olivia Lincer | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Olivia Lincer | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ana Grubor | 57c | 112$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Ana Grubor | 39c | 102.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Ana Grubor | 51c | 96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640c…34e1backed Ana Grubor | 35c | 82.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Ana Grubor | 57c | 82.2$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Olivia Lincer | 51c | 62.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Ana Grubor | 74c | 56.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ana Grubor | 23c | 47.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Olivia Lincer | 50c | 42.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Olivia Lincer | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Olivia Lincer | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Olivia Lincer | 79c | 26.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.