Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa06fd378a5b914dfbf30fd25c5e4cc7ee0495dc1527838fc05db61c82cfe2e20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 14c | 7,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 52c | 6,613$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430.48 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 49c | 4,073$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.76 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 11c | 3,074$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.53 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 45c | 1,721$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.41 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 63c | 871.04$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.65 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 43c | 702$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.15 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 43c | 702$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.14 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 698.3$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.51 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 76c | 571.99$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 66c | 526.51$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 521.16$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.14 | 472 | 44.9%212 W · 260 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed No | 67c | 305.97$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 251.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 760 | 37.4%284 W · 476 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 57c | 156$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 71c | 148.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 144.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 129 | 31.8%41 W · 88 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 23c | 97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 43c | 96.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 78c | 85.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 59c | 81.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 64.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes | 39c | 48.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 408 | 44.4%181 W · 227 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…8623backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 331 | 42.9%142 W · 189 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.