Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25c54fcebc24790c3e0b4792aa8a87065ced065b67542fdb780cdd944afff6d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -14.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed No | 76c | 2,359$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.13 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 16c | 2,112$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.84 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 1,616$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.88 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 1,347$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.76 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 25c | 917$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.25 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 23c | 887.75$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.37 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Yes | 21c | 490.88$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 449.05$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 424.39$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 772 | 48.8%377 W · 395 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 368.81$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 355.59$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 19c | 336.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 147 | 49%72 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 293.32$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 75c | 265.33$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked No | 76c | 252.41$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 74c | 232.97$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 26c | 220.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 78c | 201$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 85 | 74.1%63 W · 22 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 75c | 187.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 173.63$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 171.95$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 1,793 | 54.8%983 W · 810 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 171.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 77c | 165.02$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 7.4%4 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked No | 75c | 155.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 24c | 153.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 23c | 129.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Yes | 28c | 123.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 77c | 106.54$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 93.84$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 632 | 49.1%310 W · 322 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 77c | 81.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 23c | 75.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 23c | 75.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 429 | 57.1%245 W · 184 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 77c | 69.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 78c | 64.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 25c | 62.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 76c | 58.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 78c | 44.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 896 | 48.2%432 W · 464 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3547…496fbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 80c | 24.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…4d6ebacked No | 76c | 21.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 77c | 20.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 308 | 51%157 W · 151 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1,319 | 50.8%670 W · 649 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 537 | 47.9%257 W · 280 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 127 | 65.4%83 W · 44 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 344 | 49.1%169 W · 175 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will Kuopion PS vs. Shamrock Rovers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-08-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.