TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fenerbahçe SKof Fenerbahçe SK, Konyaspor
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,352 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224f…514abacked Konyaspor45c5,071$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.7614853.4%79 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fenerbahçe SK55c1,649$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.0521151.7%109 W · 102 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Konyaspor3c1,610$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.675,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Fenerbahçe SK51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49017460.3%105 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ea…73f3backed Fenerbahçe SK55c968.98$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Fenerbahçe SK68c917.89$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.132,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Fenerbahçe SK55c795.18$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.833852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Fenerbahçe SK52c659.69$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.841,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Fenerbahçe SK55c531.57$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.211560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Fenerbahçe SK75c517.54$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.777,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Konyaspor45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5a…96bcbacked Fenerbahçe SK52c210$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Fenerbahçe SK55c136.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.22540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Konyaspor18c135.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4110541%43 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a41…f527backed Fenerbahçe SK55c131.57$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.211258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Konyaspor47c123.67$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.562,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Konyaspor47c107.9$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.182,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Fenerbahçe SK55c105.26$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.371850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Konyaspor12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick25cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Konyaspor46c96.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5411837.3%44 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Fenerbahçe SK55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Fenerbahçe SK55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Fenerbahçe SK55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b94…09dcbacked Fenerbahçe SK55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+43.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebf3…50a8backed Fenerbahçe SK55c87.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04b…049abacked Fenerbahçe SK55c87.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Fenerbahçe SK52c86.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1973440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Konyaspor47c82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5446044.3%204 W · 256 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Konyaspor45c66.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305149%25 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Konyaspor48c50.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413650%68 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x232f…8002backed Fenerbahçe SK55c35.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.04955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Fenerbahçe SK55c35.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.791656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1fd…9994backed Fenerbahçe SK55c35.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+46.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10af…2d06backed Fenerbahçe SK55c35.08$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Fenerbahçe SK55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7523747.7%113 W · 124 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Fenerbahçe SK55c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7521247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fenerbahçe SK55c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.311545.2%52 W · 63 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked Fenerbahçe SK54c33.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.352360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Fenerbahçe SK51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-27.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Fenerbahçe SK55c21.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.824553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Fenerbahçe SK55c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.471553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Konyaspor50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104055%22 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.