Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Belgium vs Serbia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0c1c3c3175d8394d178a5f2fe369c50db41a39100a0c7e422e49f7afceab372
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belgiumof Belgium, Serbia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Serbia | 12c | 11,839$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…071ebacked Serbia | 0c | 5,216$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Serbia | 12c | 3,475$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.63 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Serbia | 10c | 2,282$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.17 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Serbia | 4c | 1,304$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Serbia | 12c | 1,182$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.23 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Serbia | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Serbia | 11c | 600$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Serbia | 9c | 549.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Serbia | 12c | 510$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Serbia | 12c | 493.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Serbia | 7c | 490.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Serbia | 11c | 394$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Serbia | 12c | 371.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Serbia | 14c | 357.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…7f01backed Serbia | 12c | 315$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +262.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Serbia | 8c | 299.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Serbia | 11c | 256.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Serbia | 7c | 231.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Serbia | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Serbia | 15c | 197.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Serbia | 12c | 172.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Serbia | 11c | 168.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Serbia | 10c | 152.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Serbia | 11c | 111.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Serbia | 19c | 105.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Serbia | 11c | 101.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Serbia | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 40cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Serbia | 23c | 85.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Belgium | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Belgium | 75c | 16.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.