Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland State Vikings vs. Montana State Bobcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0eaeb7d9e5b9842eb74c32b5b7e5a572321046b0471ab0018c40d35e7e40cc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Montana State Bobcatsof Portland State Vikings, Montana State Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Montana State Bobcats | 66c | 3,082$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.31 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Portland State Vikings | 46c | 3,081$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.28 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Montana State Bobcats | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.12 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Portland State Vikings | 30c | 1,564$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.43 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Montana State Bobcats | 70c | 1,561$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.47 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Montana State Bobcats | 72c | 1,023$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Portland State Vikings | 10c | 1,019$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Montana State Bobcats | 70c | 622.48$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.07 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Montana State Bobcats | 54c | 538.19$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.46 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Montana State Bobcats | 55c | 491.06$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.38 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Portland State Vikings | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Portland State Vikings | 26c | 344.44$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Portland State Vikings | 45c | 330.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Portland State Vikings | 27c | 317.84$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Portland State Vikings | 46c | 297.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Portland State Vikings | 46c | 297.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Montana State Bobcats | 55c | 234.32$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Montana State Bobcats | 78c | 219.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Portland State Vikings | 46c | 212.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Portland State Vikings | 11c | 204.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Portland State Vikings | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Portland State Vikings | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Montana State Bobcats | 55c | 199.95$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Montana State Bobcats | 75c | 191.51$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Montana State Bobcats | 73c | 177.53$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Montana State Bobcats | 57c | 174.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Montana State Bobcats | 78c | 127.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Portland State Vikings | 44c | 120.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Portland State Vikings | 46c | 112.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Portland State Vikings | 46c | 107.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Portland State Vikings | 47c | 105.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Portland State Vikings | 45c | 88.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Montana State Bobcats | 71c | 76.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Portland State Vikings | 46c | 64.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Portland State Vikings | 20c | 63.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Montana State Bobcats | 79c | 56.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Portland State Vikings | 25c | 55.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Montana State Bobcats | 57c | 52.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Portland State Vikings | 45c | 44.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Portland State Vikings | 44c | 40.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +11.5wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Montana State Bobcats | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Portland State Vikings | 45c | 34.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Montana State Bobcats | 55c | 32.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Portland State Vikings | 45c | 24.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Montana State Bobcats | 70c | 21.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Montana State Bobcats | 74c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Montana State Bobcats | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…49d2backed Montana State Bobcats | 70c | 18.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Montana State Bobcats | 70c | 16.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Montana State Bobcats | 70c | 16.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portland State Vikings vs. Montana State Bobcatsthis page
- Spread: Montana State Bobcats (-2.5)Montana State Bobcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.