Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Nuria Brancaccio vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa14f74e513cf5947cb3cab49af31eae56c57a7083f3a14cbcca14293d317ebb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrea Lazaro Garciaof Nuria Brancaccio, Andrea Lazaro Garcia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nuria Brancaccio | 7c | 8,299$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.27 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 34c | 1,150$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.61 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 79c | 701.09$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Nuria Brancaccio | 25c | 558.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 375 | 34.9%131 W · 244 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Nuria Brancaccio | 22c | 436.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 65c | 360.84$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.29 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…4f5fbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 73c | 309.86$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Nuria Brancaccio | 15c | 269.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 26c | 241.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 910 | 50.2%457 W · 453 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Nuria Brancaccio | 33c | 168$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Nuria Brancaccio | 39c | 154.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Nuria Brancaccio | 19c | 133.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Nuria Brancaccio | 13c | 126.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Nuria Brancaccio | 35c | 122.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 444 | 52.5%233 W · 211 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Nuria Brancaccio | 25c | 90.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 66c | 77.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 60c | 64.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Nuria Brancaccio | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Nuria Brancaccio | 33c | 54.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 568 | 48.9%278 W · 290 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nuria Brancaccio | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 56c | 35.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 64c | 28.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 62c | 22.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 67c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Andrea Lazaro Garcia | 75c | 16.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.