Tennis · resolved market
ITF Aix-Les-Bains: Madison Sieg vs Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa15b66d30a3cdd72c8ca89c53b3adb8c7140fe9824719d4df0b4d9b7477c3011
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madison Siegof Madison Sieg, Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Madison Sieg | 66c | 6,202$4,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.51 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 30c | 1,052$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.02 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 24c | 1,025$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 41c | 1,007$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.34 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 32c | 800.67$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.69 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 40c | 661.5$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 20c | 466.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 33c | 441.28$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 32c | 417.68$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 23c | 320.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Madison Sieg | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 48c | 212.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8787…da0abacked Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 47c | 200.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 54c | 130.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Madison Sieg | 69c | 128.46$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 16c | 107.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked Madison Sieg | 61c | 104.42$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 22c | 102$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Madison Sieg | 76c | 68.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 24c | 68.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Madison Sieg | 73c | 61.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 26c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 24c | 52.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 32c | 50.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Madison Sieg | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Madison Sieg | 77c | 39.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.