Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa16c31d19f2b3e60c4637da99ca888971cb4c285aedecc12b7300b68a56bb1ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 2,344$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.68 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 33c | 2,300$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.59 | 256 | 23.8%61 W · 195 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 1,104$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.17 | 870 | 43%374 W · 496 L | +24.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed No | 70c | 707.14$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 668.64$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.66 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 30c | 647.33$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 1,155 | 49.3%569 W · 586 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 11c | 626.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 599.31$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 31c | 485.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…8ba9backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 348.23$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.95 | 413 | 49.2%203 W · 210 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 71c | 324.92$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 31c | 218.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ae…69e9backed No | 74c | 217$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…295abacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8646…15adbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 75c | 134.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07f1…3b8ebacked Yes | 28c | 104.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 26c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 311 | 24.8%77 W · 234 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4c18backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -79%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 48.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…444abacked Yes | 29c | 40.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 39.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,807 | 50.2%908 W · 899 L | +32.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 38.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…3139backed Yes | 31c | 33.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 72c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…4f02backed No | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 19.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1,278 | 50.2%642 W · 636 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-25?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.