Asian League · resolved market
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x515eda4aadb291479663a004e0712e07ba072b5a367e7d3ecf9d503aaa56403a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 31c | 3,500$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 1,907$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.66 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 45c | 1,231$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.61 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 870.87$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.34 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 829.03$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.03 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 8c | 797.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 593.38$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.37 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 71c | 432$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.95 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 31c | 301.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 14c | 295$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 70c | 284.28$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 9c | 281.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 311 | 24.8%77 W · 234 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed No | 41c | 243.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 71c | 217.87$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.69 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed Yes | 31c | 216.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 36cpaid | +146.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 7c | 176.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 156.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 69c | 152.92$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 152.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 43c | 145.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…39bdbacked No | 71c | 141.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed No | 54c | 138.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…089abacked Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +115%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 112.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 59c | 107.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 31c | 92.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…ef19backed No | 52c | 86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…5ab8backed No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…e746backed Yes | 34c | 72.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 36cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 69c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 590 | 46.6%275 W · 315 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 69c | 58.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 70c | 56.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 273 | 37%101 W · 172 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked No | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 224 | 69.6%156 W · 68 L | +33.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 61c | 41.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 870 | 43%374 W · 496 L | +24.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…4238backed Yes | 55c | 38.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 32c | 36.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 349 | 59.9%209 W · 140 L | +49.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…589ebacked Yes | 58c | 36.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked No | 71c | 35.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 64c | 34.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 63c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…8eb3backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed No | 72c | 27.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 25.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,807 | 50.2%908 W · 899 L | +32.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94aa…a526backed No | 74c | 20.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…9fd2backed No | 70c | 20.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 68c | 18.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-25?this page
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.