Tennis · resolved market
Tyler: Hayato Matsuoka vs Henry Searle
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1725b228b1199873215c385a3d205791161031b8cb8ecf7a9a676a62574cb31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henry Searleof Hayato Matsuoka, Henry Searle
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Hayato Matsuoka | 10c | 4,422$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.32 | 4,807 | 49.5%2,380 W · 2,427 L | +173.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hayato Matsuoka | 2c | 3,595$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 9,311 | 36.2%3,366 W · 5,945 L | -204.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 39c | 2,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 3,908 | 35%1,369 W · 2,539 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hayato Matsuoka | 24c | 1,593$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.58 | 11,920 | 43.3%5,167 W · 6,753 L | +24.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Hayato Matsuoka | 20c | 967.8$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Hayato Matsuoka | 30c | 849.8$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.94 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Henry Searle | 70c | 847.54$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.26 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Hayato Matsuoka | 32c | 822.11$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.07 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Hayato Matsuoka | 31c | 625$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.75 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hayato Matsuoka | 2c | 586.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Henry Searle | 62c | 586.08$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.71 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…fa8ebacked Henry Searle | 60c | 548.64$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.38 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Henry Searle | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Hayato Matsuoka | 30c | 417.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.04 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Henry Searle | 62c | 368.01$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.84 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Hayato Matsuoka | 11c | 354.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Henry Searle | 78c | 335.33$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Henry Searle | 59c | 281$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 874 | 47.8%418 W · 456 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Hayato Matsuoka | 9c | 240.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Hayato Matsuoka | 8c | 212.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Hayato Matsuoka | 30c | 200.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Hayato Matsuoka | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Henry Searle | 60c | 186.77$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 1,077 | 57.4%618 W · 459 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Hayato Matsuoka | 27c | 185$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Hayato Matsuoka | 32c | 175$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Henry Searle | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hayato Matsuoka | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,385 | 28.9%1,556 W · 3,829 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 581 | 45.8%266 W · 315 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Hayato Matsuoka | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Henry Searle | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Henry Searle | 69c | 143.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 403 | 60.8%245 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Henry Searle | 71c | 141.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Henry Searle | 78c | 129.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Henry Searle | 70c | 128.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Hayato Matsuoka | 21c | 125.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 1,156 | 45.4%525 W · 631 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hayato Matsuoka | 31c | 119.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 7,163 | 39.8%2,851 W · 4,312 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hayato Matsuoka | 32c | 90.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2,589 | 38.7%1,003 W · 1,586 L | +101.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Hayato Matsuoka | 17c | 88.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Henry Searle | 57c | 88.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 7,235 | 49.7%3,595 W · 3,640 L | +118.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Hayato Matsuoka | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…3e6ebacked Hayato Matsuoka | 20c | 73.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Hayato Matsuoka | 43c | 64.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2,452 | 51.8%1,269 W · 1,183 L | +11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Hayato Matsuoka | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 979 | 58.5%573 W · 406 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Henry Searle | 69c | 58.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 913 | 59.6%544 W · 369 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Hayato Matsuoka | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 39c | 50.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Hayato Matsuoka | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Henry Searle | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Hayato Matsuoka | 24c | 49.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,927 | 55.4%1,068 W · 859 L | -43.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 30c | 49.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 8,162 | 50.8%4,144 W · 4,018 L | +80.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Hayato Matsuoka | 43c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Henry Searle | 68c | 38.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 6,760 | 46.3%3,128 W · 3,632 L | -39.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Hayato Matsuoka | 32c | 36.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,870 | 41.1%768 W · 1,102 L | -32.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Henry Searle | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 30c | 34.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Henry Searle | 57c | 33.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Hayato Matsuoka | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Henry Searle | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 829 | 61.9%513 W · 316 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Hayato Matsuoka | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Henry Searle | 77c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Henry Searle | 71c | 25.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Henry Searle | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1,285 | 45%578 W · 707 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Hayato Matsuoka | 43c | 24.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…49febacked Henry Searle | 70c | 21.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Henry Searle | 73c | 17.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Henry Searle | 69c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.