Tennis · resolved market
Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Alejandro Moro Canas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2a0daa0d4ae64159025e159a886e287b6a221508a40dab63879ef13158e1c4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefano Travagliaof Stefano Travaglia, Alejandro Moro Canas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 5c | 4,344$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 8c | 1,640$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.2 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 7c | 1,610$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.83 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 12c | 1,006$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Stefano Travaglia | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 1,883 | 44.8%843 W · 1,040 L | +36.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 45c | 999.92$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.97 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Stefano Travaglia | 55c | 727.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.26 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 4c | 586.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…fc9bbacked Stefano Travaglia | 63c | 459.66$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.06 | 223 | 52%116 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 5c | 418.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 32c | 364$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Stefano Travaglia | 56c | 350.88$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.39 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 8c | 301.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 44c | 272.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 6c | 266.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 6c | 240$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 569 | 27.2%155 W · 414 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Stefano Travaglia | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Stefano Travaglia | 55c | 223$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Stefano Travaglia | 55c | 214.56$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…0e22backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 10c | 205.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 22c | 202.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 7c | 200.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 26c | 157.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 14c | 129.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Stefano Travaglia | 55c | 125.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Stefano Travaglia | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 44c | 72.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 45c | 70.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…85debacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 46c | 65.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 44c | 61.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Stefano Travaglia | 70c | 57.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Stefano Travaglia | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 45c | 49.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 45c | 43.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Stefano Travaglia | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…6e5abacked Stefano Travaglia | 65c | 26.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.