Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2a368545782aee0792ea4f87eeee21b28b5fc611dd08de907283e80313aa837
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4acc…9bdabacked Yes | 0c | 10,200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 34c | 1,194$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.54 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 15c | 1,175$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.35 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 32c | 1,056$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.72 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 23c | 951.48$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.02 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 812.53$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.1 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 9c | 791.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 35c | 602$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ea…32e2backed Yes | 58c | 513.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e7…10c0backed Yes | 23c | 419.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 36c | 386.66$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 9c | 372.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 18c | 267.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 54c | 262.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.41 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…017cbacked Yes | 24c | 230.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 238 | 23.9%57 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 8c | 216.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 54c | 213.51$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 65c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…2263backed Yes | 30c | 178.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53a0…1907backed Yes | 6c | 166.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 9.6%7 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…7d1bbacked Yes | 45c | 163$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89a…92f8backed Yes | 38c | 159$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 56c | 155.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3949…dffdbacked No | 66c | 152.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6810…c641backed Yes | 38c | 149.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 71c | 149.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…446cbacked Yes | 43c | 149.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 13c | 126.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 17c | 123.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 62c | 113.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 16c | 112$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…75a9backed Yes | 31c | 111.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 217 | 22.6%49 W · 168 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…493cbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…1994backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dc…0af0backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 174 | 33.9%59 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…8a3cbacked No | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 36c | 99.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 60c | 98.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…5eb7backed No | 65c | 96.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 257 | 25.7%66 W · 191 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…977abacked Yes | 17c | 88.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 20c | 85.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 67c | 85.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 83.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed No | 54c | 80.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6b…c053backed Yes | 35c | 74.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 35c | 72.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…20c6backed No | 69c | 70.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Yes | 33c | 70.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…1450backed No | 78c | 68.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -21.9wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 25c | 67.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…105fbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce2…dd34backed Yes | 32c | 62.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 32.7%35 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…d3bdbacked No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 32c | 59.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…5994backed Yes | 34c | 59.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…06bebacked Yes | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 46c | 54.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f36…8b52backed No | 62c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 69c | 50.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…5f3bbacked No | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…08ffbacked No | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…137ebacked No | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 136 | 63.2%86 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…511ebacked No | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…305ebacked No | 69c | 40.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…652abacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5450…117abacked No | 55c | 36.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28a…e150backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3b…ae48backed No | 56c | 35.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +22.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…ce99backed Yes | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 104 | 27.9%29 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 36c | 29.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 36c | 29.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…e4debacked No | 68c | 29.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 76 | 76.3%58 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…2eeebacked No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 42c | 27.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed No | 62c | 27.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…b84abacked No | 70c | 27.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…0a73backed Yes | 42c | 25.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x192a…b0a6backed No | 60c | 23.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c85backed No | 56c | 22.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…0208backed No | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…b52fbacked No | 56c | 21.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 58c | 19.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 68c | 16.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed No | 70c | 16.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.