Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2de47ea7de87c026115f7bfccb9644c982430be1fe8391735a2f314b8a8feb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, Leviatan Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked FURIA Esports | 73c | 14,886$10,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.43 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Leviatan Esports | 26c | 13,749$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.65 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked FURIA Esports | 74c | 11,954$8,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.97 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked FURIA Esports | 73c | 4,963$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.25 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Leviatan Esports | 27c | 3,815$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.11 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Leviatan Esports | 27c | 3,761$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.4 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Leviatan Esports | 27c | 2,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Leviatan Esports | 27c | 2,012$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.12 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Leviatan Esports | 27c | 1,076$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.45 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Leviatan Esports | 26c | 776.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 765.44$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Leviatan Esports | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Leviatan Esports | 27c | 573.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Leviatan Esports | 27c | 529.91$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed FURIA Esports | 72c | 299.93$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Leviatan Esports | 61c | 299.8$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Leviatan Esports | 27c | 262.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Leviatan Esports | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 225 | 45.8%103 W · 122 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked Leviatan Esports | 28c | 140.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked Leviatan Esports | 35c | 137.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…8db8backed FURIA Esports | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed FURIA Esports | 74c | 128.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Leviatan Esports | 29c | 119.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed FURIA Esports | 72c | 119.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Leviatan Esports | 27c | 114.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 349 | 45.6%159 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed FURIA Esports | 60c | 104.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 99.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA Esports | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Leviatan Esports | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Leviatan Esports | 26c | 89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Leviatan Esports | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…666ebacked FURIA Esports | 72c | 82.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FURIA Esports | 26c | 67.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed FURIA Esports | 80c | 62.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Leviatan Esports | 33c | 60.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FURIA Esports | 68c | 57.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked Leviatan Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…f4babacked Leviatan Esports | 31c | 46.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Leviatan Esports | 27c | 40.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 234 | 43.2%101 W · 133 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Leviatan Esports | 32c | 37.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed FURIA Esports | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Leviatan Esports | 42c | 26.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked FURIA Esports | 73c | 20.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 497 | 56.3%280 W · 217 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…0866backed FURIA Esports | 69c | 19.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…2d8bbacked FURIA Esports | 74c | 15.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.