Lol · resolved market
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc75fa751efa1e167750dd3c663038902d99ef57e1bc2c4d6b1233dc97e4374ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, Leviatan Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Leviatan Esports | 18c | 5,906$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.16 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Leviatan Esports | 17c | 3,611$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.83 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Leviatan Esports | 16c | 3,044$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.04 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5511…5734backed Leviatan Esports | 15c | 2,559$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.82 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Leviatan Esports | 16c | 2,075$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.2 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Leviatan Esports | 16c | 2,049$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.91 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Leviatan Esports | 18c | 1,595$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Leviatan Esports | 17c | 1,471$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.35 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Leviatan Esports | 16c | 712.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Leviatan Esports | 16c | 698.78$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Leviatan Esports | 17c | 555$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Leviatan Esports | 17c | 472.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.37 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Leviatan Esports | 14c | 441$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Leviatan Esports | 17c | 380$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leviatan Esports | 14c | 290.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Leviatan Esports | 13c | 189.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 205 | 50.2%103 W · 102 L | +15.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Leviatan Esports | 14c | 127.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Leviatan Esports | 15c | 117.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87f…ec76backed Leviatan Esports | 18c | 114.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed Leviatan Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Leviatan Esports | 16c | 94.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Leviatan Esports | 18c | 94.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked Leviatan Esports | 17c | 89.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Leviatan Esports | 17c | 85.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Leviatan Esports | 16c | 84.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Leviatan Esports | 15c | 80.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Leviatan Esports | 15c | 70.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…0485backed Leviatan Esports | 17c | 63.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed5…8165backed Leviatan Esports | 17c | 61.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 348 | 44.8%156 W · 192 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Leviatan Esports | 17c | 59.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.