Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb020130bf5da15be8187eb55de53158507a0b1fd69e5ab607d9b5584816a941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 77c | 12,212$9,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.61 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 24c | 3,697$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.67 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 75c | 3,044$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.47 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 25c | 2,006$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.38 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 22c | 1,906$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.41 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 26c | 1,147$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.15 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Over | 22c | 1,092$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Over | 22c | 1,048$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.58 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 23c | 1,048$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.42 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 23c | 877.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 21c | 607.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 22c | 586.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Over | 22c | 562.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.73 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 76c | 549.39$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 24c | 500.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…77e2backed Over | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 25c | 261.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 22c | 245.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 24c | 119.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x273b…9c70backed Over | 22c | 90.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 21c | 87.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Over | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Over | 20c | 75.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 68.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Over | 23c | 66.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 26c | 49.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 35c | 48.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Under | 60c | 18.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 79c | 18.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Under | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Under | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Leviatan Esports (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular SeasonFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 WinnerFURIA Esports won
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.