WNBA · resolved market
Sparks vs Fever
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa32c9b76064ca48c1f35384953fbb0f19e1acdd0ce8d6a506536d98f169628f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sparksof Sparks, Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Sparks | 19c | 3,931$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.22 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Sparks | 30c | 3,110$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sparks | 32c | 3,050$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fever | 68c | 2,605$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.23 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Fever | 76c | 2,098$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.39 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Sparks | 24c | 1,884$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.65 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Sparks | 18c | 1,220$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.4 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Sparks | 26c | 1,058$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.92 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sparks | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fever | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sparks | 31c | 916.74$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.55 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sparks | 31c | 897$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.4 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Fever | 74c | 609$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.07 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Fever | 77c | 475$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Fever | 78c | 429$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.53 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Sparks | 32c | 401.25$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.85 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…5256backed Fever | 65c | 338.66$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Fever | 58c | 336.06$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.71 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Sparks | 53c | 303.85$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Fever | 75c | 225.93$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sparks | 30c | 214.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Fever | 69c | 208.61$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Sparks | 73c | 207.81$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Fever | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Fever | 75c | 191.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Sparks | 28c | 166$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sparks | 16c | 123.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Fever | 60c | 108.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Fever | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Fever | 55c | 85.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sparks | 16c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Fever | 70c | 72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Sparks | 28c | 60.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sparks | 26c | 56.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Fever | 71c | 52.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Fever | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Sparks | 33c | 35.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Fever | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.