Tennis · resolved market
Chile Open, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Henrique Rocha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa371415a4b552cfdceda417e60ecb3bb62b0ddba942e58d3d761e8de1f8c11bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vallejoof Vallejo, Rocha
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Rocha | 27c | 8,269$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rocha | 8c | 5,894$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.59 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vallejo | 73c | 4,326$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.61 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc44…e036backed Rocha | 25c | 3,196$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.04 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Rocha | 11c | 2,400$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Vallejo | 75c | 2,192$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.37 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Vallejo | 74c | 1,841$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.71 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vallejo | 75c | 1,397$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.08 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Vallejo | 74c | 1,150$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.77 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Rocha | 26c | 1,136$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.96 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Rocha | 25c | 1,077$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.19 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rocha | 20c | 743.24$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.69 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Rocha | 26c | 644.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Rocha | 24c | 589.83$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Rocha | 30c | 488.44$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rocha | 27c | 391.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Rocha | 31c | 327.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Rocha | 7c | 316.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Rocha | 36c | 280.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Rocha | 29c | 239.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rocha | 26c | 237.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Rocha | 23c | 216.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rocha | 29c | 199.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Rocha | 20c | 191$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rocha | 28c | 188.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Rocha | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…2aacbacked Vallejo | 70c | 156.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Rocha | 25c | 142$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vallejo | 69c | 128$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Rocha | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Vallejo | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Vallejo | 75c | 119.1$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Vallejo | 70c | 118$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Vallejo | 70c | 113.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Rocha | 28c | 107.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Rocha | 28c | 100.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Vallejo | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Vallejo | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bee…31fdbacked Rocha | 23c | 76.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rocha | 17c | 63.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Rocha | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Vallejo | 71c | 58.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Rocha | 26c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Rocha | 25c | 55.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Rocha | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Rocha | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Vallejo | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vallejo | 78c | 44.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rocha | 27c | 43.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Vallejo | 70c | 42.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Vallejo | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Vallejo | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Vallejo | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Vallejo | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Vallejo | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Vallejo | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Vallejo | 70c | 14.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.