Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Julia Grabher vs Amanda Anisimova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3e6b134ac36eca874c71f56746671ccb8a3dc2e5d893c99cdabf8182397559d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amanda Anisimovaof Julia Grabher, Amanda Anisimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5af4…a7dfbacked Julia Grabher | 17c | 13,173$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.48 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Amanda Anisimova | 80c | 10,419$8,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.84 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Julia Grabher | 15c | 5,387$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.19 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Julia Grabher | 15c | 5,386$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.9 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Julia Grabher | 20c | 4,800$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Julia Grabher | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Julia Grabher | 17c | 4,000$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.09 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Julia Grabher | 16c | 2,007$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.39 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Julia Grabher | 18c | 2,000$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.37 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcf…dc6ebacked Julia Grabher | 5c | 1,980$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Julia Grabher | 3c | 1,920$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Julia Grabher | 6c | 1,689$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Julia Grabher | 20c | 1,388$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.54 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Julia Grabher | 19c | 1,050$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Julia Grabher | 18c | 999.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Julia Grabher | 16c | 999.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Julia Grabher | 15c | 999.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Julia Grabher | 17c | 883.32$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Julia Grabher | 16c | 768.63$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Julia Grabher | 16c | 767.19$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Julia Grabher | 15c | 742.05$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Julia Grabher | 17c | 594.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Julia Grabher | 16c | 552.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Julia Grabher | 18c | 440.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Julia Grabher | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Julia Grabher | 17c | 384.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Julia Grabher | 14c | 350$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed Julia Grabher | 4c | 335.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Julia Grabher | 15c | 324.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Julia Grabher | 18c | 305.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Julia Grabher | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Julia Grabher | 15c | 299.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Julia Grabher | 15c | 230.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Amanda Anisimova | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Julia Grabher | 20c | 188.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Julia Grabher | 12c | 136.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Julia Grabher | 17c | 118.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Julia Grabher | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…d5c8backed Julia Grabher | 13c | 106.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4730…382fbacked Julia Grabher | 19c | 105.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Julia Grabher | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Julia Grabher | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…b20ebacked Julia Grabher | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Julia Grabher | 16c | 74.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Julia Grabher | 15c | 69.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Julia Grabher | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…b31bbacked Julia Grabher | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Julia Grabher | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Julia Grabher | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f71…2fbabacked Amanda Anisimova | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros WTA: Julia Grabher vs Amanda Anisimovathis page
- Grabher vs. Anisimova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.