Fifa International · resolved market
Will Scotland vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43fbf8384a7d2b8f631e1a020f3b1669f056bc7a4d04c65d893c13cb0ddb5ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Yes | 13c | 4,583$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 2,010$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.4 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 1,557$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.05 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 1,415$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.12 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 1,185$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.8 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +18.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 12c | 568.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 511.09$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 73c | 505$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 77c | 494.45$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.19 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 32c | 472.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 17c | 317.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 23c | 266.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 27c | 243.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 12c | 222$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 198.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 13c | 192.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 28c | 191.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 28c | 180.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 13c | 151.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 14c | 150.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 78c | 140.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 52c | 129.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 109$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked No | 73c | 107.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 107$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 29c | 105.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 13c | 99.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 18c | 99.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…a4d7backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…60b7backed Yes | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 20c | 54.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 75c | 21.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scotland vs. Curaçao end in a draw?this page
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-05-30?No won
- Will Scotland win on 2026-05-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.