NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Orlando Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa48c4a0b3f62fe94894969f59301ce81abd624311ea7d0b8286ada0c2f82307f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Orlando Magicof Philadelphia 76ers, Orlando Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Philadelphia 76ers | 0c | 7,777$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 11c | 4,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Philadelphia 76ers | 1c | 3,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 28c | 2,890$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.09 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia 76ers | 2c | 2,705$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Orlando Magic | 74c | 1,894$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.44 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 3c | 1,090$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Orlando Magic | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 2c | 765.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Philadelphia 76ers | 37c | 747.29$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Orlando Magic | 68c | 627.96$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.95 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Philadelphia 76ers | 34c | 578$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 6c | 438.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 6c | 361.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Orlando Magic | 63c | 355.24$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.72 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia 76ers | 5c | 322.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 271 | 45.4%123 W · 148 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Orlando Magic | 71c | 261.85$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orlando Magic | 63c | 212.14$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 38c | 199.97$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd981…c309backed Orlando Magic | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Orlando Magic | 64c | 145.5$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Philadelphia 76ers | 28c | 113.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Orlando Magic | 60c | 95.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Philadelphia 76ers | 38c | 94.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…5838backed Philadelphia 76ers | 32c | 90.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Orlando Magic | 64c | 87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Orlando Magic | 66c | 69.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…9ef1backed Philadelphia 76ers | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…6b36backed Philadelphia 76ers | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…f4ffbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Philadelphia 76ers | 37c | 44.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Philadelphia 76ers | 35c | 42.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Orlando Magic | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Orlando Magic | 67c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Philadelphia 76ers | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Philadelphia 76ers | 40c | 25.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orlando Magic | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.