TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,609 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes62c3,337$2,069 inWon+$1,268.0635550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No38c1,595$613 inLost-$613.171,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No38c1,205$459 inLost-$458.663,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a4…3c66backed Yes63c1,000$630 inWon+$370250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No41c855.29$347 inLost-$347.441,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Yes62c719.99$446 inWon+$273.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No37c674.99$250 inLost-$249.7520043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No38c613.82$232 inLost-$231.651,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes61c583.6$354 inWon+$229.8838246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No45c509.38$228 inLost-$228.1944447.3%210 W · 234 L-1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47b5…fe36backed Yes52c469.98$244 inWon+$225.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed No39c322$126 inLost-$125.5820133.3%67 W · 134 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Yes62c305.65$190 inWon+$116.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes42c241.78$100 inWon+$141.411266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+52.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No47c212.34$100 inLost-$99.5435247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked No38c205.43$79 inLost-$78.9436646.7%171 W · 195 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No56c164.54$92 inLost-$91.8871443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No38c149$57 inLost-$56.621,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes62c130$81 inWon+$49.432848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed No35c109$39 inLost-$38.641050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes62c100$62 inWon+$3820449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No51c96$49 inLost-$48.5631446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked No41c93.59$38 inLost-$385813.8%8 W · 50 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-22.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes62c75$47 inWon+$28.544350.6%224 W · 219 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No37c71.58$26 inLost-$26.481,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No36c44.81$16 inLost-$16.2219852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No38c39.32$15 inLost-$14.9412848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes57c39$22 inWon+$16.7796756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5767…490ebacked No54c37.04$20 inLost-$201464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Yes62c34.55$21 inWon+$13.133164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Yes62c32.11$20 inWon+$12.23246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Yes56c32$18 inWon+$14.223740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes64c22$14 inWon+$7.9247240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236e…338abacked Yes64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.