Mls · resolved market
Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0f76a9e8cb92f6e154137acae7b90ef030cac121406b652e84de03195d0067b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 65c | 2,692$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.97 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 12c | 1,572$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 1,496$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.08 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 34c | 942.23$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.55 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 61c | 699.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 680.37$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.17 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 15c | 676.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.4 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 31c | 646.5$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.6 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Over | 60c | 483.03$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.03 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 37c | 448$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.76 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 63c | 440.06$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.82 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 34c | 294.63$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 68c | 293.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 36c | 267.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 64c | 244.39$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 203$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 66c | 177.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…69e1backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 72c | 156$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 67c | 135$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce58…6321backed Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 15c | 105.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 34c | 87.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 71c | 79.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 63c | 69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 76c | 65.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…2b84backed Over | 67c | 58.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 63c | 50.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 76c | 50.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 77c | 49.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 64c | 47.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 64c | 45.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 64c | 44.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 62c | 39.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Under | 38c | 34.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…2c9abacked Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 64c | 22.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…1cc0backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 71c | 18.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5this page
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Atlanta United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Sporting Kansas City O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-2.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)Atlanta United FC won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.