Mls · resolved market
Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f0f72c0c9b4f892d87ea954604e430379b1bb43a4417362489672e10f304aaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 10,014$4,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,035.44 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 6,000$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.99 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 56c | 3,456$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.28 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 40c | 2,494$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.63 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 2,267$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.98 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 1,903$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.49 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 41c | 1,676$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.26 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 59c | 1,570$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.61 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 1,399$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.17 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 52c | 1,193$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.95 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed Under | 49c | 821.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 731.81$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.94 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 59c | 719$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.79 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 40c | 600$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 2c | 570$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 58c | 516.19$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.39 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 51c | 500$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 53c | 500$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 70c | 407.86$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 49c | 398.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 30c | 353.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 53c | 344.23$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.44 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 44c | 288.17$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.18 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 59c | 285$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 56c | 279.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.24 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 56c | 261$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Under | 42c | 246.19$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 244.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.05 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 54c | 240.51$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 71c | 190.13$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.09 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Over | 53c | 175.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 32c | 171.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 38c | 171.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 22c | 158.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 54c | 152.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 39c | 130$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 112.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 70c | 96.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 48c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 31c | 81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 43c | 77.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 60c | 72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 41c | 63.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 44c | 63.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 60c | 51.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 60c | 44.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 57c | 39.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 40c | 39.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 44c | 34.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 30.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked Over | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 69c | 28.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 73c | 27.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 50c | 27.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…9426backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 60c | 24.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 56c | 24.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…5966backed Over | 54c | 22.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 76c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 60c | 21.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under | 75c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5this page
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Atlanta United FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Atlanta United FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: Sporting Kansas City O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-2.5)Sporting Kansas City won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-1.5)Atlanta United FC won
- Spread: Sporting Kansas City (-2.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.