MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4daf951f445444f7f0b5b61d3234800e336118682568c19ae03a43fb47b0712
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Red Sox | 51c | 117,605$59,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,626.46 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Astros | 49c | 50,684$24,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,835.19 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Astros | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Astros | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Red Sox | 46c | 12,808$5,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,903.99 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 49c | 8,300$4,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,067 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Astros | 26c | 5,736$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.69 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 4,990$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.81 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Astros | 55c | 4,311$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.91 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 54c | 3,208$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Astros | 50c | 2,978$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 50c | 2,490$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.83 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Red Sox | 47c | 2,389$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.4 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Astros | 50c | 2,280$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.66 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 53c | 2,140$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.2 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Red Sox | 50c | 2,004$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.99 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Astros | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 50c | 1,903$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.43 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…cd1abacked Red Sox | 49c | 1,388$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…9e57backed Astros | 51c | 1,175$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…910cbacked Red Sox | 49c | 1,157$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…3203backed Red Sox | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…2c1abacked Astros | 51c | 1,125$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 30c | 1,079$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.12 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Red Sox | 76c | 1,059$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.21 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Astros | 51c | 1,023$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.59 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Astros | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Astros | 51c | 852.19$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.62 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Astros | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…03a9backed Astros | 51c | 745$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros | 52c | 679.98$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.99 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c8…4072backed Astros | 51c | 643$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Astros | 49c | 564$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.36 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095a…2400backed Astros | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Red Sox | 50c | 468.18$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.09 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Astros | 25c | 445.49$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Astros | 12c | 388$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Red Sox | 48c | 378.03$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Astros | 49c | 365.81$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Red Sox | 52c | 328.79$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.82 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 48c | 318.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Astros | 52c | 302.61$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.32 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Red Sox | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Red Sox | 66c | 288.85$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Red Sox | 48c | 239.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.58 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Red Sox | 46c | 214.18$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Red Sox | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Astros | 51c | 204.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.06 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…088bbacked Astros | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 52c | 197$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox | 47c | 179.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 51c | 164.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Astros | 40c | 157.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Astros | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Astros | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Astros | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 60c | 143.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Astros | 51c | 141.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Astros | 56c | 134.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Astros | 22c | 128.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Red Sox | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Astros | 27c | 100.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…0e96backed Red Sox | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc379…362abacked Red Sox | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Astros | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Astros | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Astros | 55c | 99.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Astros | 51c | 98.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127b…5ffcbacked Astros | 52c | 96.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…12dbbacked Astros | 52c | 84.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astros | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Red Sox | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 76.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 75c | 70.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Astros | 51c | 67.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…9e5cbacked Astros | 50c | 59.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Astros | 31c | 59.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…07d8backed Astros | 51c | 57.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Red Sox | 50c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7751…a24cbacked Astros | 50c | 51.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Astros | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Astros | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Red Sox | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeceb…19f2backed Red Sox | 75c | 45.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Astros | 50c | 45.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Astros | 53c | 45.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.