Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Nantes vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4edfaca3577d6be072db6b5d6ae2724908e42bc39e253ea2e6fe83941ede38a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 1,679$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.87 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 1,206$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.4 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 49c | 1,035$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.87 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 43c | 936.21$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.38 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 46c | 582.24$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.58 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 47c | 397.36$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 52c | 382.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 346.6$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.76 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 320.5$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 53c | 307.55$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 51c | 214.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 53c | 189.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.34 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +203%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…5f30backed Yes | 51c | 153.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 47c | 146.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…2022backed Yes | 51c | 133.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 50c | 131.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 51c | 94.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 51c | 86.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 31c | 74.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 50c | 72.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed No | 34c | 62.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 49c | 35.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 50c | 31.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…3f3fbacked Yes | 46c | 29.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…0e8cbacked Yes | 51c | 24.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…4d1fbacked Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nantes vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Nantes vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Nantes vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Nantes vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Nantes vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.