Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. East Carolina Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa50b9a962cb21f890309e65c3f96d7e71642c736ea34a2fe298d0f8c9b52a36c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Appalachian State Mountaineersof Appalachian State Mountaineers, East Carolina Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed East Carolina Pirates | 17c | 2,910$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.93 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked East Carolina Pirates | 18c | 2,342$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked East Carolina Pirates | 29c | 1,556$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.53 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked East Carolina Pirates | 16c | 929.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed East Carolina Pirates | 25c | 880.56$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 71c | 712.14$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.14 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 54c | 642.33$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.23 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 72c | 588.35$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.02 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed East Carolina Pirates | 69c | 567.04$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.15 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed East Carolina Pirates | 31c | 518.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.59 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…24d7backed East Carolina Pirates | 31c | 471.76$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed East Carolina Pirates | 56c | 421.69$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.45 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed East Carolina Pirates | 15c | 421$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 33c | 411.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.1 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 77c | 338.96$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.46 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked East Carolina Pirates | 11c | 309$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked East Carolina Pirates | 38c | 306.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 30c | 300.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.1 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +19.3wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 36c | 299.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.27 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 69c | 270.11$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked East Carolina Pirates | 63c | 234.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 68c | 206.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked East Carolina Pirates | 62c | 183.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.38 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed East Carolina Pirates | 12c | 166$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked East Carolina Pirates | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed East Carolina Pirates | 49c | 138.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed East Carolina Pirates | 21c | 137.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed East Carolina Pirates | 31c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked East Carolina Pirates | 17c | 122.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 36c | 111.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 68c | 105.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…6660backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128c…490fbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked East Carolina Pirates | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked East Carolina Pirates | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed East Carolina Pirates | 11c | 97.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 71c | 90.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed East Carolina Pirates | 24c | 89.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed East Carolina Pirates | 63c | 71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 34c | 68.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked East Carolina Pirates | 64c | 68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 35c | 65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 33c | 61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…8cfabacked East Carolina Pirates | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c44…d3acbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 36c | 57.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 46c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddf…7441backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 36c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed East Carolina Pirates | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…0107backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 36c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked East Carolina Pirates | 64c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed East Carolina Pirates | 64c | 31.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…b05ebacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed East Carolina Pirates | 62c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked East Carolina Pirates | 64c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers | 78c | 25.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked East Carolina Pirates | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…afe6backed East Carolina Pirates | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…fbd5backed East Carolina Pirates | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5475…fbe4backed East Carolina Pirates | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e16…39cdbacked East Carolina Pirates | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…f0c5backed East Carolina Pirates | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e8…0ecabacked East Carolina Pirates | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…d2edbacked East Carolina Pirates | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…3667backed East Carolina Pirates | 66c | 16.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…4e84backed Appalachian State Mountaineers | 68c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.