Tennis · resolved market
Poznan: Norbert Gombos vs Olle Wallin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa53569a0269fe6e9c34724acecceee8f62e5250a58295d6b2a0bb60b110dac58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norbert Gombosof Norbert Gombos, Olle Wallin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Norbert Gombos | 76c | 2,660$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Olle Wallin | 21c | 1,908$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Olle Wallin | 38c | 1,593$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.16 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Norbert Gombos | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…9f29backed Norbert Gombos | 64c | 1,160$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.64 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Olle Wallin | 36c | 1,000$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.48 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Norbert Gombos | 65c | 813.29$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.1 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Norbert Gombos | 62c | 740.35$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Olle Wallin | 36c | 599.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.95 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Olle Wallin | 32c | 449.94$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.48 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Norbert Gombos | 64c | 307.7$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Norbert Gombos | 66c | 277.93$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Norbert Gombos | 62c | 222.74$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Olle Wallin | 27c | 218.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Olle Wallin | 35c | 189.27$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Olle Wallin | 28c | 185.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Olle Wallin | 14c | 175$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Norbert Gombos | 62c | 154.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Olle Wallin | 28c | 135.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Olle Wallin | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Olle Wallin | 22c | 126.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Norbert Gombos | 74c | 119$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Olle Wallin | 39c | 112.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Olle Wallin | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Olle Wallin | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…45f6backed Norbert Gombos | 78c | 98.57$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 225 | 44.4%100 W · 125 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Olle Wallin | 36c | 98.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Olle Wallin | 36c | 97.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Olle Wallin | 21c | 94.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Norbert Gombos | 65c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Olle Wallin | 35c | 84.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Norbert Gombos | 63c | 78.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Norbert Gombos | 74c | 71.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Olle Wallin | 26c | 71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…756bbacked Olle Wallin | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Norbert Gombos | 66c | 59.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Norbert Gombos | 79c | 57.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Olle Wallin | 37c | 51.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Olle Wallin | 35c | 51.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…c85fbacked Norbert Gombos | 79c | 50.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Olle Wallin | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Norbert Gombos | 61c | 44.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Norbert Gombos | 61c | 42.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Norbert Gombos | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Olle Wallin | 39c | 39.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Norbert Gombos | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Norbert Gombos | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Norbert Gombos | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Norbert Gombos | 62c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Norbert Gombos | 63c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Norbert Gombos | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -26.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.