TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Colgate Raiders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colgate Raidersof Loyola Maryland Greyhounds, Colgate Raiders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdb8…abbebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds26c2,013$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.91,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds24c1,647$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3921,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds18c1,360$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.5434943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Colgate Raiders76c1,305$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.213,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds7c905$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.741,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Colgate Raiders76c854.86$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.835,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds38c651.06$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505925.4%15 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds7c598.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.564,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Colgate Raiders62c540.99$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.282,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Colgate Raiders77c535.58$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds4c413.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Colgate Raiders77c400$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.921,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colgate Raiders66c378.05$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.351,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Colgate Raiders68c312.56$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.532,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds23c299.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.922,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds7c281.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.911,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Colgate Raiders76c229.6$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds25c228.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8481528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Colgate Raiders77c226.84$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4714451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds23c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds23c199.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4555532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Colgate Raiders78c192.31$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3193447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds15c161.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.951,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Colgate Raiders70c103$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3761446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds11c99.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.171,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds23c71.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.661,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Colgate Raiders75c68.41$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Colgate Raiders75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.981,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ec…d0f5backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56025%15 W · 45 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds22c48.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.611,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c3…b054backed Colgate Raiders49c41.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0413565.9%89 W · 46 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Colgate Raiders75c21.22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.229470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.