Tennis · resolved market
ITF Las Palmas: Shannon Lam vs Eleonora Alvisi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa69aca2a38c9ed9480d7b54dde121beb44370c9e7e463a9ac91e7198d13ac238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shannon Lamof Shannon Lam, Eleonora Alvisi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eleonora Alvisi | 39c | 2,489$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.33 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shannon Lam | 61c | 1,539$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.74 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Shannon Lam | 63c | 1,364$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.91 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shannon Lam | 76c | 1,332$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.56 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eleonora Alvisi | 36c | 850.81$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.44 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Eleonora Alvisi | 34c | 542$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Shannon Lam | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eleonora Alvisi | 36c | 291.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.54 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eleonora Alvisi | 33c | 204.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Shannon Lam | 61c | 169.32$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Shannon Lam | 60c | 158$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Shannon Lam | 60c | 155$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Eleonora Alvisi | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Eleonora Alvisi | 15c | 97.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Shannon Lam | 77c | 74.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 377 | 76.1%287 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Shannon Lam | 60c | 51.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Shannon Lam | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Shannon Lam | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Shannon Lam | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Shannon Lam | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.