TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Monmouth Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Campbell Fighting Camelsof Campbell Fighting Camels, Monmouth Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,109 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee20…5b37backed Campbell Fighting Camels27c4,073$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.6919050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Monmouth Hawks56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.76443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Monmouth Hawks68c1,780$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.41,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Campbell Fighting Camels44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Campbell Fighting Camels44c681$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.811,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Monmouth Hawks33c524.29$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7619237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Campbell Fighting Camels28c473.8$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.394,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Monmouth Hawks51c399.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Campbell Fighting Camels49c348.4$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.681,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels47c348$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Monmouth Hawks72c277.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Campbell Fighting Camels23c273$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.365735.1%20 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels59c250.03$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.511,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels27c236.16$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.971,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Campbell Fighting Camels40c201.12$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.681,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Campbell Fighting Camels40c197$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.223,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Campbell Fighting Camels54c189.48$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.492,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Monmouth Hawks55c183.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Campbell Fighting Camels66c160.29$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.51,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Monmouth Hawks68c150$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10212840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Monmouth Hawks79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Campbell Fighting Camels28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1453635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Campbell Fighting Camels44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Campbell Fighting Camels28c89.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1842327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Campbell Fighting Camels33c88.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2645644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Campbell Fighting Camels32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.138737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df0…1d17backed Monmouth Hawks67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-77%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Campbell Fighting Camels64c69.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.145942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Monmouth Hawks60c67.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.541,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels48c58.2$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.114,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Monmouth Hawks72c54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.748051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Campbell Fighting Camels24c47.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.92,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfad9…a1d1backed Monmouth Hawks60c37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Monmouth Hawks57c33.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.072,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Campbell Fighting Camels49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Monmouth Hawks53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.932343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cef…f50abacked Campbell Fighting Camels49c29.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.07666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b96…f098backed Monmouth Hawks53c23.12$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.254621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Monmouth Hawks72c19.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.