MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7380858f19777c1ad96938d165b1c91d2b63653c6a6c0bca384db4ed72a5d32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc095…8666backed Doosan Bears | 75c | 3,508$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NC Dinos | 22c | 1,273$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.02 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed NC Dinos | 56c | 717.3$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Doosan Bears | 44c | 541.56$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.27 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 79c | 520.69$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 292.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed NC Dinos | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…5cdcbacked NC Dinos | 56c | 178.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked NC Dinos | 54c | 149.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.67 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Doosan Bears | 44c | 142.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.54 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Doosan Bears | 46c | 139.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 17c | 138$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed NC Dinos | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 94.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked Doosan Bears | 47c | 72.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 57.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked NC Dinos | 54c | 52.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked NC Dinos | 20c | 50.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 52c | 50.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 43.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Doosan Bears | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…5c3abacked Doosan Bears | 47c | 30.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked NC Dinos | 54c | 30.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed NC Dinos | 55c | 30.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…86b1backed NC Dinos | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed NC Dinos | 57c | 26.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed NC Dinos | 49c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Doosan Bears | 77c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -11.8wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.