Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Yufei Ren vs Yanan Hou
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa92d73f2746f78add43c19cac36ce50688aefd351190e329a9c0d00feb4a8ade
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yufei Renof Yufei Ren, Yanan Hou
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yanan Hou | 24c | 9,868$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.01 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yufei Ren | 78c | 4,178$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.73 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yufei Ren | 75c | 3,161$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.4 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yanan Hou | 22c | 953.02$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.45 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Yufei Ren | 78c | 708.51$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.79 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Yufei Ren | 78c | 674.4$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.19 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yufei Ren | 59c | 609.48$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.79 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yanan Hou | 22c | 423.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Yufei Ren | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yanan Hou | 26c | 373.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.42 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yanan Hou | 17c | 372.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Yufei Ren | 79c | 327.16$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yanan Hou | 27c | 294.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yanan Hou | 15c | 224.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Yanan Hou | 12c | 220.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yanan Hou | 21c | 218$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yufei Ren | 69c | 214.51$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yufei Ren | 60c | 208$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yanan Hou | 21c | 207.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Yufei Ren | 73c | 177.86$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Yanan Hou | 57c | 175.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yanan Hou | 23c | 157.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yanan Hou | 33c | 156.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Yanan Hou | 20c | 156.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yanan Hou | 22c | 139$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yufei Ren | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yanan Hou | 14c | 133.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Yanan Hou | 20c | 127.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Yufei Ren | 76c | 121.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yanan Hou | 32c | 118.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Yufei Ren | 71c | 105.21$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Yufei Ren | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yanan Hou | 11c | 94.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yufei Ren | 58c | 93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…55ccbacked Yanan Hou | 30c | 82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yanan Hou | 29c | 73.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…61f1backed Yufei Ren | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441f…8954backed Yanan Hou | 29c | 70.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Yufei Ren | 74c | 64.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yanan Hou | 23c | 63.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Yufei Ren | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Yanan Hou | 35c | 59.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yufei Ren | 74c | 53.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Yufei Ren | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed Yufei Ren | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +15.0wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Yufei Ren | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Yufei Ren | 77c | 49.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Yufei Ren | 79c | 38.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Yufei Ren | 68c | 29.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Yufei Ren | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Yufei Ren | 78c | 19.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Yufei Ren | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.